Last Sunday, Leipzig started March with a 2-1 comeback victory against Hamburger SV, marking their first win since beating FC Koln by the same scoreline on February 8th, and only their fourth win of the year (three losses and three draws). That poor form has seen Werner's side drop to fifth place in the table, with 44 points, two points behind fourth-placed Stuttgart and third-placed Hoffenheim, while only one point ahead of sixth-placed Bayer Leverkusen.

In the first leg at their home ground, Hamburger lost to Wolfsburg, but back then, Die Wölfe wasn't as "chaotic" as they are now. Remember that the team under coach Daniel Bauer had gone through 7 consecutive rounds in the Bundesliga losing (5) and drawing (2). And even at their best, Wolfsburg were very afraid of matches played at their home ground, Volkswagen Arena.

That's why Wolfsburg currently has the worst home record in the Bundesliga 2025/2026: only 2 wins and 9 points after 12 matches, even though in more than half of those games they were considered the favorites.

Midweek, Hamburger lost 0-1 in their rescheduled match against Leverkusen. This was their second consecutive defeat, both at home. However, thanks to their good form prior to this (unbeaten in 6 consecutive rounds, including 2 wins), Hamburger are currently quite secure in the safety zone, and as a newly promoted team, they obviously couldn't ask for more.

Nevertheless, Freiburg still has reason to fear Leverkusen, who are 10 points ahead of them (43 compared to 33). In terms of head-to-head record, Freiburg are not favored by history, having only drawn or lost in their last six encounters with Leverkusen, including four defeats. Furthermore, at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg have only managed one victory in their last eight home matches against Leverkusen.

The reality is that home advantage is proving to be incredibly strong for Freiburg. Since their defeat to Augsburg last August in the opening match of the new season, Freiburg have not lost another game at Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga. Along with Bayern, Dortmund, and Stuttgart, Freiburg is one of the rare four teams that have only lost one home game in the German top league in the 2025/26 season.

Stuttgart also has history on their side. Observations show that in the last six encounters between the two teams, they won four, drew one, and lost only one match against Mainz. Similarly, in their last six away games against Mainz, they also won four, drew one, and lost one.

In short, this is a match where Stuttgart has a good chance of securing three points to continue their pursuit of a top-four finish in the Bundesliga.

Stuttgart are in impressive form. They have won 7, drawn 3, and lost only 1 of their last 11 official matches. In their most recent Bundesliga game, Stuttgart thrashed Wolfsburg 4-0.

In the Bundesliga, Stuttgart are currently ranked 4th. However, they are only 2 points ahead of Leipzig, who are in 4th place. This means that a loss to Mainz in round 25 could see them drop out of the top 4. Therefore, Stuttgart need to give their all in this match.

On the other side, Hoffenheim also hasn't been in particularly impressive form, winning only one of their last four matches. However, experts believe the team still shows a certain level of consistency in their gameplay. Hoffenheim usually maintains a balanced game and knows how to capitalize on opponents' mistakes to secure favorable results.

In particular, Hoffenheim's away record is more positive. In their last five away games, they have won two and drawn two – a statistic that shows their resilience when playing away from home. Furthermore, Hoffenheim also won the most recent encounter between the two clubs.

From a professional perspective, Heidenheim's recent form is causing concern among many fans. The team has lost 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, showing a clear decline in both their playing style and fighting spirit. Their defense frequently makes mistakes, while their attack's ability to capitalize on opportunities is also lacking.